If Biden is such a great candidate, why does his campaign hide him in the basement? Why did he turn down additional opportunities to debate President Trump, allowing voters to better understand the policies of both candidates prior to early voting? If the Biden message and vision for America is that great, why wouldn’t democrats want to see more not less?

Celeb Logic:
Cut carbon emissions –> While I ride in my private jet.
Prepare to leave America –> While I buy an American mansion.
You get arrested if you don’t wear a mask –> But I can go mask free in a hair salon.
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This part was EPIC!

“Mayor Giuliani we appreciate your time…”

Giuliani: Hahaha, no you didn’t. You don’t appreciate my time. You’re so phony. Gd almighty. You’re working for the Democrati… (cutoff) pic.twitter.com/DIfIVwVIWE

— Jewish Deplorable 🇺🇸 (@TrumpJew) October 7, 2020

Why are the liberal all upset at this? 99.7%? That’s nearly everyone – and why put our census workers at risk when that rate is similar to prior years.

We thank you for your utmost integrity!!!!!

No, you are wrong. The reason why people are getting that confused is because Michigan mailed a ballot to every single voter. So the denominators for both requested and returned are the same in the returned and requested voter file – since every voter should have a ballot. This is confusing a lot of people. But, please remember, some states this year did mail ballots to everyone.

Second, the TargetSmart data is actually delayed on the TargetSmart website for state data. They refresh two times a day for the state data on NBC News. So there may be discrepancies between the two, but we verified that the NBC News data is the most up-to-date for state data.

The TargetSmart website does refresh county-level data multiple times a day. But their state data lags, sometimes for a couple of days, for some reason. But NBC News does have the most up-to-date STATE data.

Also, a Democratic Poll just found Trump is winning. There are other polls showing Trump winning, but I’m showing a Democratic poll since you seem biased.

THUS SAITH THE DATA,
1) Actual ballot data from MICHIGAN confirms Republicans are winning so far.
2) The latest Democratic polling data confirms Trump is winning in Michigan.
3) Nationally, the polls are tightening after Trump’s superb debate performance and the actual ballot data AND the latest polls in Michigan reflect this trend.

The evidence is overwhelming positive for Trump. Don’t doom when there is ample good data to support the case for a Trump win in Michigan.

Because I have access to Google Ad tools and can see actual numbers. It’s not insignificant. Far from it. Have a nice day.

Google doesn’t reveal the number of searches. It’s indexed on a scale of 1-100. It hit 100. Since the average trending indexed number is 3, the day it started strongly trending was 33% the normal trend. Your reply shows how low information you are. Google explains on their site the index. No wonder you are voting for Biden. He did say today something to the effect he didn’t like smart guys. Maybe he meant it in a literal sense. Go, and blindly follow your leader in ignorance.

wow! you’re right the trailer on youtube has 2 million DISLIKES.

I’m making a narrow point in the article.

1) That the overall death rate for all deaths is one of the lowest it’s ever been and not giving any specific reason.
2) That it’s surprising the death rate is so low being in a national pandemic emergency.

My only recommendation from this, at the very least is this:

At the very least, this data shows we need to analyze COVID-19 deaths in the context of the broader U.S. mortality rate from all causes. It appears normal deaths are being attributed to COVID-19 if the patient is COVID-19+, even if another underlying chronic cause is responsible.

We need to get a clear definition of what constitutes a COVID-19 death. Right now states and countries can really attribute anything if the patient is COVID-19+. But based on the antibodies test from Santa Clara, CA… COVID-19 is even more prevalent that previously thought. So there is ample crossover between what caused the death.

I’m really just asking for a standard definition everyone use. Once we have that and have the data behind that, we can make more conclusions. But with very weak and siloed data, it’s hard to make a lot of conclusions.

I don’t disregard any deaths. I’m looking at crude mortality (from each and every cause):

CRUDE DEATH RATE is the total number of deaths to residents in a specified geographic area (country, state, county, etc.) divided by the total population for the same geographic area (for a specified time period, usually a calendar year) and multiplied by 100,000.

I only use complete data. The CDC publishes how complete a set is. Notice I’m only using week 14 in this set. There is actually data for week 16, but week 15/16 are incomplete. I wait until the complete data set filters in and the CDC confirms it’s 100% in from all districts. After the CDC labels data 100%, there are still revisions. But, the recent historical revisions are less than 5% after two weeks.

So, yes, even before I read the post you shared… I identified the same exact issue and accounted for it in the presentation of data.

Dr. Spencer’s data model is a bit flawed. He’s using a 5-year historical average. Whenever you do a data model, you need to weight the model, at a disproportional ratio, to recent-data trends. He doesn’t do that. As it turns out, with all the attention on COVID-19, epidemiological data is being reported at a much quicker rate than the 5-year historical model suggests. We are getting more complete data quicker.

Think about it- if it was your job to provide data that the world needs, wouldn’t you devote more resources to providing it quicker? That’s what’s happening.

I work with trillions of data points, across billions of auctions a day. Identifying trends and patterns is my livelihood.

My only conclusions are this:

1) we need to do a better job at defining certain data points

a) covid -19 deaths: when do we attribute to pre-existing chronic conditions or covid-19 itself? or do we categorically assign death: covid-19 alone or covid 19 w/ pre-existing condition when looking at the death rate? uniformity will help analyze this data in aggregate.
b) death rate to DETECTED covid-19 cases is not really a metric. every state/country detects covid-19 using different methods and thus different rates are attributed to that method rather that qualities of the virus itself.

2) i find it quit surprising that in the midst of a national pandemic emergency, that stops a multi-trillion dollar economy, the chances of dying from any cause are at the lowest levels across multiple years. we deserve proper data as listed in point (1) given how the lock down effects businesses, and the livelihood of billions.

Ultimately, I’m looking for truth and am suggesting areas of further research based on surprising crude mortality rate data.

The data is emerging that we did not need to lock down. Sweden did not lock down, and the mortality rate there is lower than france and italy.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-19/sweden-says-controversial-covid-19-strategy-is-proving-effective?srnd=premium

Sweden is currently higher than most Scandinavian nations. But since they did not lock-down, they likely hit herd immunity quicker, and will have lesser deaths down the road. While the other Scandinavian nations, when they come out of lock down, may have an increase in deaths since they are not as far along in establishing herd immunity.

Furthermore, Sweden’s economy not taking a slug to the face with a baseball bat, as other nations.

Thought experiment: If we could reduce automobile accident deaths to virtually 0 by reducing the speed limit to 15 mph, should we do it?