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  • Flash Commentary No, 1460b
    on Jun 21 at 12:57 am

    • Fundamentals Could Not Be Stronger for Gold and Silver, nor Weaker for the U.S. Dollar and Stocks, Despite Fed or Market Nonsense to the Contrary • There Is No V-Shaped Recovery • Battered, Non-Recovered May 2021 Payrolls and Unemployment Confirmed a Still-Ravaged Economy on […]

  • Flash Commentary No. 1460a
    on May 31 at 11:07 pm

    • Benchmarked Industrial Production Revised Sharply Lower; Both Manufacturing and Mining Were Hit Hard • New Numbers Indicate the Economy Was in a Deepening Recession, Well Before the Pandemic Shutdown and Collapse • Old Numbers Showed Production Peaked in December 2018 and […]

  • Benchmark Commentary No. 1459
    on Apr 21 at 9:15 am

    • Intractable and Deteriorating Conditions Still Signal No Imminent Economic Recovery, Irrespective of Some Bounces in March Activity Against Weather-Driven February Collapses • Monthly Annual and Post-Pandemic Payroll Declines Have Stabilized Around Minus Six-to-Seven Percent for […]

  • Flash Commentary No. 1458
    on Feb 24 at 9:59 am

    • January 2021 Manufacturing Declined Year-to-Year for the 19th Consecutive Month, Still in the Downturn Induced by the FOMC 15 Months Before the Pandemic Collapse • Where January 2021 Year-to-Year Manufacturing Contracted by 1.0% (-1.0%), It Also Contracted by 1.8% (-1.8%) from […]

  • Flash Commentary No. 1457
    on Feb 16 at 3:21 am

    • Pandemic-Driven Unemployment Soared to an April 2020 Peak of About 32%, Worse Than in the Great Depression; Such Was Against a January 2020 Pre-Pandemic U.3 Unemployment Rate of 3.5% • In the Latest Four Months, Pandemic-Driven Unemployment Has Leveled Off Around 12%, Worst Since […]

  • Flash Commentary No. 1456
    on Feb 1 at 9:45 am

    • Fourth-Quarter 2020 Annualized Real GDP Growth of 4.0% Was as Expected, Slowing from the Record 33.4% Third-Quarter Pandemic Rebound • Full-Year 2020 Annual GDP Decline of 3.5% (-3.5%) Was the Deepest Since the 1946 Post-World War II Economic Reset • Current U.S. Economy […]

  • Economic Commentary, Issue No. 1455
    on Jan 28 at 3:03 pm

    • Key Monthly Economic Numbers Turned Negative Anew in Fourth-Quarter 2020 • Narrowing Annual Declines in October and November Payrolls Stalled at 6.0% (-6.0%), But the Year-to-Year Drop in December 2020 Payrolls Deepened to 6.2% (-6.2%) • An Increasing Number of Unemployed […]

  • Economic Commentary No. 1454
    on Dec 30 at 12:58 am

    • Deepening Economic Woes and Soaring Inflation Ahead • Underlying Economic and Labor Numbers through November Indicate Contracting or Flattening Fourth-Quarter 2020 GDP, Well Shy of Economic Recovery • On Top of Downside Revisions, Declining November Real Retail Sales Showed […]

  • Economic Commentary No. 1453
    on Dec 15 at 1:33 am

    • Four Million Unemployed People Are Missing from the Headline Labor Force • Pandemic-Disrupted U.3 Unemployment Effectively Was 9.0% in November 2020, Not the Headlined 6.7% • November Unemployment and Payrolls Confirmed Stalled, L-Shaped, Non-Recovering Economic Activity • […]

  • Flash Commentary No. 1452
    on Nov 23 at 10:48 pm

    • October 2020 Cass Freight Index® Turned Positive Year-to-Year, Gaining 2.4% Against an Unusually Sharp, Unseasonable Decline the Year Before • Such Was the First Annual Gain in Freight Activity Since November 2018, When Excessive Fed Tightening Was Being Used to Constrain […]

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